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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Cheltenham Win
50%
1.98
23%
4.27
26%
3.83
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
10.9%
Draw
Most likely
2 – 1
9.6%
Home win
1 – 0
9.1%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.76
Cheltenham xG
Total xG
2.97
1.20
Newport County xG
CheltenhamDrawNewport County
1.98
50%
Home win
4.27
23%
Draw
3.83
26%
Away win
Goals Markets
80%
Over 1.5
1.25
20%
Under 1.5
5.00
57%
Over 2.5
1.75
43%
Under 2.5
2.33
35%
Over 3.5
2.86
65%
Under 3.5
1.54
18%
Over 4.5
5.56
82%
Under 4.5
1.22
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
58%
BTTS Yes
1.72
42%
BTTS No
2.38
Clean Sheet
30%
3.33
17%
5.83
Win to Nil
15%
6.60
4%
22.35
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.1 | 6.2 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.1 | 10.9 | 6.6 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.0 | 9.6 | 5.8 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.7 | 5.7 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 5 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.763
λ Away (xG)
1.204
Total xG
2.967
League avg home goals
1.255
League avg away goals
1.191
Cheltenham attack strength
1.101
Cheltenham defence strength
1.132
Newport County attack strength
0.893
Newport County defence strength
1.276
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
88 / 89