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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Crewe Win
28%
3.60
32%
3.09
40%
2.51
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
15.4%
Away win
Most likely
0 – 0
14.1%
Draw
1 – 1
13.3%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.87
Cheltenham xG
Total xG
1.96
1.09
Crewe xG
CheltenhamDrawCrewe
3.60
28%
Home win
3.09
32%
Draw
2.51
40%
Away win
Goals Markets
58%
Over 1.5
1.72
42%
Under 1.5
2.38
31%
Over 2.5
3.23
69%
Under 2.5
1.45
14%
Over 3.5
7.14
86%
Under 3.5
1.16
5%
Over 4.5
20.00
95%
Under 4.5
1.05
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
39%
BTTS Yes
2.55
61%
BTTS No
1.65
Clean Sheet
33%
2.99
42%
2.38
Win to Nil
9%
10.74
17%
5.97
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.1 | 15.4 | 8.4 | 3.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 12.2 | 13.3 | 7.3 | 2.7 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 5.3 | 5.8 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.866
λ Away (xG)
1.094
Total xG
1.960
League avg home goals
1.276
League avg away goals
1.189
Cheltenham attack strength
0.879
Cheltenham defence strength
0.998
Crewe attack strength
0.922
Crewe defence strength
0.772
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
21 / 66