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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Thu 26 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

Brunton Park

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Morecambe Win

27%

Carlisle

3.77

29%

Draw

3.47

45%

Morecambe

2.24

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.9%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

9.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.99

Carlisle xG

Total xG

2.35

1.36

Morecambe xG

27%
29%
45%
CarlisleDrawMorecambe

3.77

27%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

2.24

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.11

52%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

26%

Carlisle

3.91

37%

Morecambe

2.69

Win to Nil

7%

Carlisle

14.71

17%

Morecambe

6.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 12.9 8.8 4.0 1.4 0.4
1 9.4 12.8 8.7 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 4.7 6.4 4.3 2.0 0.7 0.2
3 1.5 2.1 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.991
λ Away (xG) 1.363
Total xG 2.354
League avg home goals 1.276
League avg away goals 1.189
Carlisle attack strength 0.638
Carlisle defence strength 1.165
Morecambe attack strength 0.984
Morecambe defence strength 1.217
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 20 / 67