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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Tue 25 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Brunton Park

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Milton Keynes Dons Win

34%

Carlisle

2.97

27%

Draw

3.74

40%

Milton Keynes Dons

2.53

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.5%

Away win

1 – 0

9.6%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Carlisle xG

Total xG

2.53

1.33

Milton Keynes Dons xG

34%
27%
40%
CarlisleDrawMilton Keynes Dons

2.97

34%

Home win

3.74

27%

Draw

2.53

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.94

49%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

26%

Carlisle

3.78

30%

Milton Keynes Dons

3.34

Win to Nil

9%

Carlisle

11.21

12%

Milton Keynes Dons

8.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.9 10.5 7.0 3.1 1.0 0.3
1 9.6 12.7 8.4 3.7 1.2 0.3
2 5.8 7.7 5.1 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 2.3 3.1 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.205
λ Away (xG) 1.329
Total xG 2.534
League avg home goals 1.265
League avg away goals 1.060
Carlisle attack strength 0.703
Carlisle defence strength 1.255
Milton Keynes Dons attack strength 1.000
Milton Keynes Dons defence strength 1.355
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 83