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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 21 Feb 2026

15:00

Venue

Memorial Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Grimsby Win

24%

Bristol Rovers

4.13

27%

Draw

3.73

49%

Grimsby

2.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.6%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

0 – 2

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.92

Bristol Rovers xG

Total xG

2.35

1.43

Grimsby xG

24%
27%
49%
Bristol RoversDrawGrimsby

4.13

24%

Home win

3.73

27%

Draw

2.04

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.18

54%

BTTS No

1.85

Clean Sheet

24%

Bristol Rovers

4.19

40%

Grimsby

2.51

Win to Nil

6%

Bristol Rovers

17.32

19%

Grimsby

5.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5 13.6 9.8 4.7 1.7 0.5
1 8.7 12.5 9.0 4.3 1.5 0.4
2 4.0 5.8 4.1 2.0 0.7 0.2
3 1.2 1.8 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.921
λ Away (xG) 1.433
Total xG 2.354
League avg home goals 1.247
League avg away goals 1.174
Bristol Rovers attack strength 0.888
Bristol Rovers defence strength 1.243
Grimsby attack strength 0.981
Grimsby defence strength 0.832
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 32 / 77