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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

15:00

Venue

Holker Street

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barrow Win

54%

Barrow

1.87

24%

Draw

4.15

22%

Shrewsbury

4.48

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

2 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.69

Barrow xG

Total xG

2.69

1.00

Shrewsbury xG

54%
24%
22%
BarrowDrawShrewsbury

1.87

54%

Home win

4.15

24%

Draw

4.48

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

50%

Over 2.5

2.00

50%

Under 2.5

2.00

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.94

48%

BTTS No

2.06

Clean Sheet

37%

Barrow

2.72

18%

Shrewsbury

5.42

Win to Nil

20%

Barrow

5.07

4%

Shrewsbury

24.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.8 6.8 3.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 11.5 11.5 5.7 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.7 9.7 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 5.5 5.5 2.7 0.9 0.2
4 2.3 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.1
5 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.690
λ Away (xG) 0.999
Total xG 2.689
League avg home goals 1.311
League avg away goals 1.166
Barrow attack strength 0.876
Barrow defence strength 1.010
Shrewsbury attack strength 0.849
Shrewsbury defence strength 1.471
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 10