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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 46

Kick-off

Sat 2 May 2026

15:00

Venue

Holker Street

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barrow Win

36%

Barrow

2.75

28%

Draw

3.52

35%

Newport County

2.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

0 – 1

11.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Barrow xG

Total xG

2.30

1.14

Newport County xG

36%
28%
35%
BarrowDrawNewport County

2.75

36%

Home win

3.52

28%

Draw

2.84

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.87

Clean Sheet

32%

Barrow

3.12

31%

Newport County

3.19

Win to Nil

12%

Barrow

8.57

11%

Newport County

9.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.1 11.4 6.5 2.5 0.7 0.2
1 11.7 13.3 7.5 2.9 0.8 0.2
2 6.8 7.7 4.4 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.6 3.0 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.160
λ Away (xG) 1.137
Total xG 2.297
League avg home goals 1.293
League avg away goals 1.207
Barrow attack strength 0.745
Barrow defence strength 1.154
Newport County attack strength 0.816
Newport County defence strength 1.204
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 91 / 91