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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sat 21 Dec 2024

12:30

Venue

SO Legal Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barrow Win

43%

Barrow

2.32

26%

Draw

3.86

31%

Fleetwood Town

3.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Barrow xG

Total xG

2.85

1.29

Fleetwood Town xG

43%
26%
31%
BarrowDrawFleetwood Town

2.32

43%

Home win

3.86

26%

Draw

3.23

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.73

42%

BTTS No

2.37

Clean Sheet

28%

Barrow

3.63

21%

Fleetwood Town

4.76

Win to Nil

12%

Barrow

8.41

6%

Fleetwood Town

15.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 7.5 4.8 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 9.0 11.6 7.5 3.2 1.0 0.3
2 7.0 9.1 5.9 2.5 0.8 0.2
3 3.7 4.7 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.4 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.2
5 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.561
λ Away (xG) 1.289
Total xG 2.850
League avg home goals 1.238
League avg away goals 1.203
Barrow attack strength 0.998
Barrow defence strength 0.971
Fleetwood Town attack strength 1.104
Fleetwood Town defence strength 1.263
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 18