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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Thu 27 Feb 2025

20:00

Venue

SO Legal Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barrow Win

57%

Barrow

1.74

25%

Draw

4.01

18%

Carlisle

5.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.6%

Home win

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.69

Barrow xG

Total xG

2.52

0.82

Carlisle xG

57%
25%
18%
BarrowDrawCarlisle

1.74

57%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

5.68

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.16

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

44%

Barrow

2.28

18%

Carlisle

5.43

Win to Nil

25%

Barrow

3.97

3%

Carlisle

30.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 6.7 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 13.7 11.3 4.6 1.3 0.3
2 11.6 9.5 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 6.5 5.4 2.2 0.6 0.1
4 2.8 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.692
λ Away (xG) 0.825
Total xG 2.517
League avg home goals 1.295
League avg away goals 1.072
Barrow attack strength 1.178
Barrow defence strength 1.031
Carlisle attack strength 0.747
Carlisle defence strength 1.109
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 78 / 32