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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

15:00

Venue

The Hive Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Barnet Win

37%

Barnet

2.71

29%

Draw

3.43

34%

Accrington ST

2.95

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

0 – 1

11.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

Barnet xG

Total xG

2.19

1.06

Accrington ST xG

37%
29%
34%
BarnetDrawAccrington ST

2.71

37%

Home win

3.43

29%

Draw

2.95

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.26

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

34%

Barnet

2.90

32%

Accrington ST

3.08

Win to Nil

13%

Barnet

7.85

11%

Accrington ST

9.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.2 11.9 6.3 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 12.6 13.4 7.1 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 7.1 7.5 4.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 2.7 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.126
λ Away (xG) 1.065
Total xG 2.191
League avg home goals 1.311
League avg away goals 1.166
Barnet attack strength 0.884
Barnet defence strength 1.221
Accrington ST attack strength 0.749
Accrington ST defence strength 0.972
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 10 / 55