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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Mon 30 Dec 2024

20:00

Venue

The Cherry Red Records Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

AFC Wimbledon Win

50%

AFC Wimbledon

1.99

31%

Draw

3.26

19%

Gillingham

5.22

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

0 – 0

12.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.37

AFC Wimbledon xG

Total xG

2.12

0.75

Gillingham xG

50%
31%
19%
AFC WimbledonDrawGillingham

1.99

50%

Home win

3.26

31%

Draw

5.22

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.46

59%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

47%

AFC Wimbledon

2.11

26%

Gillingham

3.92

Win to Nil

24%

AFC Wimbledon

4.21

5%

Gillingham

20.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.1 9.0 3.4 0.8 0.2
1 16.5 12.3 4.6 1.2 0.2
2 11.3 8.4 3.2 0.8 0.1
3 5.1 3.8 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.8 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.5 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.366
λ Away (xG) 0.749
Total xG 2.115
League avg home goals 1.325
League avg away goals 1.166
AFC Wimbledon attack strength 1.094
AFC Wimbledon defence strength 0.855
Gillingham attack strength 0.751
Gillingham defence strength 0.942
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 67