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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 12

Kick-off

Sat 11 Oct 2025

15:00

Venue

The Wham Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Accrington ST Win

47%

Accrington ST

2.13

26%

Draw

3.89

27%

Newport County

3.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.51

Accrington ST xG

Total xG

2.60

1.09

Newport County xG

47%
26%
27%
Accrington STDrawNewport County

2.13

47%

Home win

3.89

26%

Draw

3.65

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.07

Clean Sheet

34%

Accrington ST

2.98

22%

Newport County

4.53

Win to Nil

16%

Accrington ST

6.36

6%

Newport County

16.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.4 8.1 4.4 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 11.2 12.2 6.7 2.4 0.7 0.1
2 8.5 9.2 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.3 4.6 2.5 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.6 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.511
λ Away (xG) 1.092
Total xG 2.603
League avg home goals 1.362
League avg away goals 1.169
Accrington ST attack strength 0.891
Accrington ST defence strength 1.048
Newport County attack strength 0.892
Newport County defence strength 1.245
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 57