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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Tue 4 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Wham Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Milton Keynes Dons Win

37%

Accrington ST

2.67

25%

Draw

4.01

38%

Milton Keynes Dons

2.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.4%

Away win

2 – 1

8.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Accrington ST xG

Total xG

2.87

1.44

Milton Keynes Dons xG

37%
25%
38%
Accrington STDrawMilton Keynes Dons

2.67

37%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

2.66

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.38

Clean Sheet

24%

Accrington ST

4.21

24%

Milton Keynes Dons

4.20

Win to Nil

9%

Accrington ST

11.22

9%

Milton Keynes Dons

11.17

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 8.1 5.8 2.8 1.0 0.3
1 8.1 11.7 8.4 4.0 1.4 0.4
2 5.8 8.4 6.0 2.9 1.0 0.3
3 2.8 4.0 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 1.0 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.435
λ Away (xG) 1.437
Total xG 2.872
League avg home goals 1.274
League avg away goals 1.076
Accrington ST attack strength 0.806
Accrington ST defence strength 1.137
Milton Keynes Dons attack strength 1.174
Milton Keynes Dons defence strength 1.396
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 79 / 79