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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sat 23 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

The Wham Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Grimsby Win

33%

Accrington ST

3.04

27%

Draw

3.73

40%

Grimsby

2.48

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.6%

Away win

1 – 2

8.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.27

Accrington ST xG

Total xG

2.70

1.43

Grimsby xG

33%
27%
40%
Accrington STDrawGrimsby

3.04

33%

Home win

3.73

27%

Draw

2.48

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

75%

Over 1.5

1.33

25%

Under 1.5

4.00

51%

Over 2.5

1.96

49%

Under 2.5

2.04

29%

Over 3.5

3.45

71%

Under 3.5

1.41

14%

Over 4.5

7.14

86%

Under 4.5

1.16

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

24%

Accrington ST

4.17

28%

Grimsby

3.56

Win to Nil

8%

Accrington ST

12.69

11%

Grimsby

8.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.7 9.6 6.9 3.3 1.2 0.3
1 8.5 12.2 8.7 4.2 1.5 0.4
2 5.4 7.7 5.5 2.6 0.9 0.3
3 2.3 3.3 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.269
λ Away (xG) 1.429
Total xG 2.698
League avg home goals 1.283
League avg away goals 1.121
Accrington ST attack strength 0.982
Accrington ST defence strength 1.039
Grimsby attack strength 1.227
Grimsby defence strength 1.006
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 50