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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Wed 1 Jan 2025

15:00

Venue

Wham Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Grimsby Win

28%

Accrington ST

3.59

29%

Draw

3.44

43%

Grimsby

2.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.4%

Away win

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.10

Accrington ST xG

Total xG

2.52

1.42

Grimsby xG

28%
29%
43%
Accrington STDrawGrimsby

3.59

28%

Home win

3.44

29%

Draw

2.33

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

24%

Accrington ST

4.14

33%

Grimsby

3.01

Win to Nil

7%

Accrington ST

14.83

14%

Grimsby

6.99

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 11.4 8.1 3.8 1.4 0.4
1 8.8 12.6 8.9 4.2 1.5 0.4
2 4.9 6.9 4.9 2.3 0.8 0.2
3 1.8 2.5 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.101
λ Away (xG) 1.420
Total xG 2.521
League avg home goals 1.323
League avg away goals 1.161
Accrington ST attack strength 0.923
Accrington ST defence strength 1.187
Grimsby attack strength 1.031
Grimsby defence strength 0.901
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 67 / 69