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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League Two · Regular Season - 46

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

15:00

Venue

Wham Stadium

Competition

League Two

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Accrington ST Win

38%

Accrington ST

2.60

28%

Draw

3.52

33%

Chesterfield

3.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

0 – 1

9.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Accrington ST xG

Total xG

2.49

1.19

Chesterfield xG

38%
28%
33%
Accrington STDrawChesterfield

2.60

38%

Home win

3.52

28%

Draw

3.02

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.95

49%

BTTS No

2.05

Clean Sheet

30%

Accrington ST

3.28

27%

Chesterfield

3.68

Win to Nil

12%

Accrington ST

8.52

9%

Chesterfield

11.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 9.8 5.9 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 10.8 12.8 7.6 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.0 8.3 5.0 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.0 3.6 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.302
λ Away (xG) 1.188
Total xG 2.490
League avg home goals 1.316
League avg away goals 1.138
Accrington ST attack strength 0.973
Accrington ST defence strength 1.176
Chesterfield attack strength 0.888
Chesterfield defence strength 1.017
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 91 / 45