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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 43

Kick-off

Fri 18 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

STōK Cae Ras

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Wrexham Win

70%

Wrexham

1.43

21%

Draw

4.74

9%

Bristol Rovers

11.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

18.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

16.6%

Home win

3 – 0

10.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

Wrexham xG

Total xG

2.30

0.48

Bristol Rovers xG

70%
21%
WrexhamDrawBristol Rovers

1.43

70%

Home win

4.74

21%

Draw

11.30

9%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

32%

BTTS Yes

3.12

68%

BTTS No

1.47

Clean Sheet

62%

Wrexham

1.61

16%

Bristol Rovers

6.20

Win to Nil

43%

Wrexham

2.30

1%

Bristol Rovers

70.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.0 4.8 1.1 0.2
1 18.2 8.7 2.1 0.3
2 16.6 8.0 1.9 0.3
3 10.1 4.8 1.2 0.2
4 4.6 2.2 0.5 0.1
5 1.7 0.8 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.825
λ Away (xG) 0.479
Total xG 2.304
League avg home goals 1.277
League avg away goals 1.124
Wrexham attack strength 1.066
Wrexham defence strength 0.801
Bristol Rovers attack strength 0.532
Bristol Rovers defence strength 1.340
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 88