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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Sat 1 Mar 2025

12:30

Venue

STōK Cae Ras

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Wrexham Win

46%

Wrexham

2.15

25%

Draw

4.07

29%

Bolton

3.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.63

Wrexham xG

Total xG

2.86

1.24

Bolton xG

46%
25%
29%
WrexhamDrawBolton

2.15

46%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

3.45

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.75

43%

BTTS No

2.33

Clean Sheet

29%

Wrexham

3.44

20%

Bolton

5.08

Win to Nil

13%

Wrexham

7.41

6%

Bolton

17.52

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 7.1 4.4 1.8 0.6 0.1
1 9.3 11.5 7.1 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.6 9.3 5.8 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 4.1 5.1 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 1.7 2.1 1.3 0.5 0.2
5 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.626
λ Away (xG) 1.236
Total xG 2.862
League avg home goals 1.291
League avg away goals 1.168
Wrexham attack strength 1.103
Wrexham defence strength 0.994
Bolton attack strength 1.064
Bolton defence strength 1.142
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 32 / 78