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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Tue 26 Nov 2024

19:45

Venue

The Brick Community Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Wigan Win

39%

Wigan

2.57

32%

Draw

3.09

29%

Northampton

3.48

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.2%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

16.1%

Draw

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

Wigan xG

Total xG

1.83

0.82

Northampton xG

39%
32%
29%
WiganDrawNorthampton

2.57

39%

Home win

3.09

32%

Draw

3.48

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

36%

BTTS Yes

2.81

64%

BTTS No

1.55

Clean Sheet

44%

Wigan

2.27

36%

Northampton

2.74

Win to Nil

17%

Wigan

5.84

10%

Northampton

9.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.1 13.2 5.4 1.5 0.3
1 16.2 13.3 5.5 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 8.2 6.7 2.7 0.8 0.2
3 2.7 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.008
λ Away (xG) 0.821
Total xG 1.829
League avg home goals 1.339
League avg away goals 1.117
Wigan attack strength 0.754
Wigan defence strength 0.770
Northampton attack strength 0.954
Northampton defence strength 0.998
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 61 / 62