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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 25

Kick-off

Sat 4 Jan 2025

15:00

Venue

The Brick Community Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Birmingham Win

29%

Wigan

3.50

29%

Draw

3.45

42%

Birmingham

2.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.9%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

11.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.95

Wigan xG

Total xG

2.17

1.23

Birmingham xG

29%
29%
42%
WiganDrawBirmingham

3.50

29%

Home win

3.45

29%

Draw

2.36

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.31

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

29%

Wigan

3.40

39%

Birmingham

2.59

Win to Nil

8%

Wigan

11.91

16%

Birmingham

6.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.4 13.9 8.5 3.5 1.1 0.3
1 10.8 13.2 8.1 3.3 1.0 0.2
2 5.1 6.3 3.8 1.6 0.5 0.1
3 1.6 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.2
4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.950
λ Away (xG) 1.225
Total xG 2.175
League avg home goals 1.277
League avg away goals 1.174
Wigan attack strength 0.823
Wigan defence strength 0.948
Birmingham attack strength 1.101
Birmingham defence strength 0.904
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 22