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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Prediction vindicated as Stockport County edge out Huddersfield 2-1.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Stockport County beat Huddersfield 2-1 at Edgeley Park, Regular Season - 44, in the League One. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Stockport County 1.88 xG and Huddersfield 0.88 xG, a combined 2.75. The scoreboard read 2-1 for 3 actual goals. Both sides finished within a goal of their individual projections, so the scoreline sat close to the model's expected shape. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Stockport County attack 1.23 / defence 0.87 against Huddersfield attack 0.88 / defence 1.22, drawn from 43/43 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Stockport County 61% | Draw 23% | Huddersfield 17%, with Stockport County to win its most likely call at 61%. The result followed the model's preferred path, landing its top-rated outcome.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 52%. The game delivered 3, so it went over — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 76% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 48% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Stockport County 48%, Huddersfield 47%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 53%, which matched the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Stockport County's trading profile (89 games, 44 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 53% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 38% of the time, and conceded here.

Huddersfield's trading profile (89 games, 44 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

On form, Stockport County arrived the stronger side — 1.91 PPG against 1.22. Form held, and they took the win.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 3 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.

💡 Key Insights