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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sun 3 Aug 2025

12:00

Venue

Edgeley Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stockport County Win

53%

Stockport County

1.89

23%

Draw

4.28

24%

Bolton

4.23

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.9%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.78

Stockport County xG

Total xG

2.88

1.11

Bolton xG

53%
23%
24%
Stockport CountyDrawBolton

1.89

53%

Home win

4.28

23%

Draw

4.23

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

33%

Over 3.5

3.03

67%

Under 3.5

1.49

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

33%

Stockport County

3.03

17%

Bolton

5.91

Win to Nil

18%

Stockport County

5.71

4%

Bolton

25.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6 6.2 3.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
1 9.9 11.0 6.1 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.8 9.8 5.4 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 5.2 5.8 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 2.3 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.777
λ Away (xG) 1.108
Total xG 2.885
League avg home goals 1.396
League avg away goals 1.149
Stockport County attack strength 1.167
Stockport County defence strength 0.934
Bolton attack strength 1.032
Bolton defence strength 1.091
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 46 / 46