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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 39

Kick-off

Sat 21 Mar 2026

15:00

Venue

Lamex Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stevenage Win

39%

Stevenage

2.59

28%

Draw

3.53

33%

Reading

3.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.1%

Home win

0 – 1

11.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Stevenage xG

Total xG

2.30

1.10

Reading xG

39%
28%
33%
StevenageDrawReading

2.59

39%

Home win

3.53

28%

Draw

3.02

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

33%

Stevenage

3.00

30%

Reading

3.34

Win to Nil

13%

Stevenage

7.77

10%

Reading

10.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.0 11.0 6.0 2.2 0.6 0.1
1 12.1 13.2 7.3 2.7 0.7 0.2
2 7.3 8.0 4.4 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 2.9 3.2 1.8 0.6 0.2
4 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.207
λ Away (xG) 1.097
Total xG 2.304
League avg home goals 1.404
League avg away goals 1.183
Stevenage attack strength 0.827
Stevenage defence strength 0.765
Reading attack strength 1.212
Reading defence strength 1.039
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 83 / 84