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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Lamex Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stevenage Win

48%

Stevenage

2.08

27%

Draw

3.72

25%

Northampton

3.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.50

Stevenage xG

Total xG

2.51

1.01

Northampton xG

48%
27%
25%
StevenageDrawNorthampton

2.08

48%

Home win

3.72

27%

Draw

3.98

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

36%

Stevenage

2.75

22%

Northampton

4.46

Win to Nil

17%

Stevenage

5.73

6%

Northampton

17.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 8.2 4.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 12.2 12.3 6.2 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 9.1 9.2 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.5 4.6 2.3 0.8 0.2
4 1.7 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.496
λ Away (xG) 1.011
Total xG 2.507
League avg home goals 1.327
League avg away goals 1.082
Stevenage attack strength 0.950
Stevenage defence strength 0.935
Northampton attack strength 0.999
Northampton defence strength 1.187
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48