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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

15:00

Venue

Lamex Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stevenage Win

49%

Stevenage

2.03

25%

Draw

3.97

26%

Luton

3.90

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.57

Stevenage xG

Total xG

2.63

1.06

Luton xG

49%
25%
26%
StevenageDrawLuton

2.03

49%

Home win

3.97

25%

Draw

3.90

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

35%

Stevenage

2.89

21%

Luton

4.82

Win to Nil

17%

Stevenage

5.87

5%

Luton

18.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.2 7.6 4.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 11.3 12.0 6.4 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 8.9 9.4 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.7 4.9 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.8 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.573
λ Away (xG) 1.061
Total xG 2.634
League avg home goals 1.364
League avg away goals 1.118
Stevenage attack strength 1.011
Stevenage defence strength 0.845
Luton attack strength 1.123
Luton defence strength 1.141
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 10