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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sat 20 Sep 2025

15:00

Venue

Lamex Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stevenage Win

52%

Stevenage

1.91

30%

Draw

3.34

18%

Exeter City

5.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

19.7%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

15.8%

Draw

2 – 0

12.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Stevenage xG

Total xG

1.84

0.60

Exeter City xG

52%
30%
18%
StevenageDrawExeter City

1.91

52%

Home win

3.34

30%

Draw

5.63

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

32%

BTTS Yes

3.12

68%

BTTS No

1.47

Clean Sheet

55%

Stevenage

1.81

29%

Exeter City

3.48

Win to Nil

29%

Stevenage

3.47

5%

Exeter City

19.61

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.8 9.4 2.8 0.6 0.1
1 19.7 11.8 3.5 0.7 0.1
2 12.3 7.3 2.2 0.4 0.1
3 5.1 3.1 0.9 0.2
4 1.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.248
λ Away (xG) 0.596
Total xG 1.844
League avg home goals 1.448
League avg away goals 1.049
Stevenage attack strength 0.938
Stevenage defence strength 0.796
Exeter City attack strength 0.714
Exeter City defence strength 0.918
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 53 / 54