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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 1 Feb 2025

12:30

Venue

Lamex Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stevenage Win

42%

Stevenage

2.38

29%

Draw

3.45

29%

Exeter City

3.44

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

11.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.22

Stevenage xG

Total xG

2.18

0.96

Exeter City xG

42%
29%
29%
StevenageDrawExeter City

2.38

42%

Home win

3.45

29%

Draw

3.44

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.30

57%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

38%

Stevenage

2.61

30%

Exeter City

3.38

Win to Nil

16%

Stevenage

6.23

9%

Exeter City

11.62

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.3 10.9 5.2 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 13.8 13.2 6.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.4 8.1 3.9 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 3.4 3.3 1.6 0.5 0.1
4 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.217
λ Away (xG) 0.961
Total xG 2.178
League avg home goals 1.280
League avg away goals 1.192
Stevenage attack strength 0.927
Stevenage defence strength 0.984
Exeter City attack strength 0.820
Exeter City defence strength 1.025
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 74