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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Tue 18 Feb 2025

19:45

Venue

Lamex Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stevenage Win

47%

Stevenage

2.12

29%

Draw

3.47

24%

Burton Albion

4.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

10.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Stevenage xG

Total xG

2.29

0.91

Burton Albion xG

47%
29%
24%
StevenageDrawBurton Albion

2.12

47%

Home win

3.47

29%

Draw

4.15

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.20

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

40%

Stevenage

2.49

25%

Burton Albion

3.98

Win to Nil

19%

Stevenage

5.29

6%

Burton Albion

16.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.1 9.2 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 13.9 12.7 5.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.6 8.8 4.0 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 4.4 4.0 1.8 0.6 0.1
4 1.5 1.4 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.382
λ Away (xG) 0.912
Total xG 2.294
League avg home goals 1.313
League avg away goals 1.195
Stevenage attack strength 1.037
Stevenage defence strength 0.982
Burton Albion attack strength 0.777
Burton Albion defence strength 1.015
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 76 / 77