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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 29 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

Lamex Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stevenage Win

47%

Stevenage

2.12

28%

Draw

3.59

25%

Bristol Rovers

3.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

10.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Stevenage xG

Total xG

2.24

0.90

Bristol Rovers xG

47%
28%
25%
StevenageDrawBristol Rovers

2.12

47%

Home win

3.59

28%

Draw

3.99

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.28

56%

BTTS No

1.78

Clean Sheet

41%

Stevenage

2.46

26%

Bristol Rovers

3.83

Win to Nil

19%

Stevenage

5.22

7%

Bristol Rovers

15.29

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.6 9.6 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
1 14.3 12.8 5.8 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.6 8.6 3.9 1.2 0.3
3 4.3 3.9 1.7 0.5 0.1
4 1.4 1.3 0.6 0.2
5 0.4 0.3 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.343
λ Away (xG) 0.899
Total xG 2.242
League avg home goals 1.273
League avg away goals 1.158
Stevenage attack strength 0.812
Stevenage defence strength 0.969
Bristol Rovers attack strength 0.801
Bristol Rovers defence strength 1.300
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 67