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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 38

Kick-off

Thu 24 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Lamex Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Birmingham Win

30%

Stevenage

3.37

27%

Draw

3.72

43%

Birmingham

2.30

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.8%

Away win

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Stevenage xG

Total xG

2.59

1.44

Birmingham xG

30%
27%
43%
StevenageDrawBirmingham

3.37

30%

Home win

3.72

27%

Draw

2.30

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

24%

Stevenage

4.22

32%

Birmingham

3.15

Win to Nil

7%

Stevenage

14.22

14%

Birmingham

7.24

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 10.8 7.8 3.7 1.3 0.4
1 8.6 12.4 8.9 4.3 1.5 0.4
2 4.9 7.1 5.1 2.5 0.9 0.3
3 1.9 2.7 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.146
λ Away (xG) 1.440
Total xG 2.586
League avg home goals 1.273
League avg away goals 1.188
Stevenage attack strength 1.004
Stevenage defence strength 1.127
Birmingham attack strength 1.076
Birmingham defence strength 0.897
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 89 / 42