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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 22 Feb 2025

15:00

Venue

The Croud Meadow

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Shrewsbury Win

38%

Shrewsbury

2.62

30%

Draw

3.35

32%

Stevenage

3.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

0 – 1

11.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.17

Shrewsbury xG

Total xG

2.22

1.05

Stevenage xG

38%
30%
32%
ShrewsburyDrawStevenage

2.62

38%

Home win

3.35

30%

Draw

3.13

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

38%

Over 2.5

2.63

62%

Under 2.5

1.61

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.21

55%

BTTS No

1.83

Clean Sheet

35%

Shrewsbury

2.85

31%

Stevenage

3.23

Win to Nil

13%

Shrewsbury

7.46

10%

Stevenage

10.09

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.9 11.4 6.0 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 12.7 13.3 7.0 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 7.5 7.8 4.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 2.9 3.0 1.6 0.6 0.1
4 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.171
λ Away (xG) 1.047
Total xG 2.218
League avg home goals 1.282
League avg away goals 1.190
Shrewsbury attack strength 0.941
Shrewsbury defence strength 1.212
Stevenage attack strength 0.726
Stevenage defence strength 0.970
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 78 / 77