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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Thu 26 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

The Croud Meadow

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lincoln Win

28%

Shrewsbury

3.55

26%

Draw

3.83

46%

Lincoln

2.19

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.4%

Away win

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.09

Shrewsbury xG

Total xG

2.55

1.46

Lincoln xG

28%
26%
46%
ShrewsburyDrawLincoln

3.55

28%

Home win

3.83

26%

Draw

2.19

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

23%

Shrewsbury

4.31

34%

Lincoln

2.97

Win to Nil

7%

Shrewsbury

15.30

15%

Lincoln

6.51

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 11.4 8.3 4.1 1.5 0.4
1 8.5 12.4 9.1 4.4 1.6 0.5
2 4.6 6.8 4.9 2.4 0.9 0.3
3 1.7 2.5 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.090
λ Away (xG) 1.462
Total xG 2.552
League avg home goals 1.273
League avg away goals 1.161
Shrewsbury attack strength 0.870
Shrewsbury defence strength 1.381
Lincoln attack strength 0.912
Lincoln defence strength 0.983
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 67