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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 41

Kick-off

Fri 3 Apr 2026

15:00

Venue

Aesseal New York Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rotherham Win

40%

Rotherham

2.52

29%

Draw

3.48

32%

Stevenage

3.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.8%

Home win

0 – 1

11.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.20

Rotherham xG

Total xG

2.24

1.04

Stevenage xG

40%
29%
32%
RotherhamDrawStevenage

2.52

40%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

3.17

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

35%

Rotherham

2.82

30%

Stevenage

3.32

Win to Nil

14%

Rotherham

7.10

9%

Stevenage

10.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.7 11.1 5.7 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 12.8 13.3 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 7.7 8.0 4.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 3.1 3.2 1.7 0.6 0.1
4 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.201
λ Away (xG) 1.037
Total xG 2.238
League avg home goals 1.420
League avg away goals 1.122
Rotherham attack strength 0.814
Rotherham defence strength 1.164
Stevenage attack strength 0.794
Stevenage defence strength 1.039
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 84 / 84