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Rotherham vs Northampton – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Sat 14 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

AESSEAL New York Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Rotherham Win

46%

Rotherham

2.19

26%

Draw

3.79

28%

Northampton

3.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.44

Rotherham xG

Total xG

2.51

1.07

Northampton xG

46%
26%
28%
RotherhamDrawNorthampton

2.19

46%

Home win

3.79

26%

Draw

3.58

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

34%

Rotherham

2.90

24%

Northampton

4.22

Win to Nil

16%

Rotherham

6.36

7%

Northampton

15.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 8.7 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 11.7 12.5 6.7 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 8.5 9.0 4.8 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 4.1 4.3 2.3 0.8 0.2
4 1.5 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.440
λ Away (xG) 1.066
Total xG 2.506
League avg home goals 1.304
League avg away goals 1.097
Rotherham attack strength 0.961
Rotherham defence strength 1.068
Northampton attack strength 0.909
Northampton defence strength 1.149
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 17 / 65