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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 40

Kick-off

Tue 21 Apr 2026

19:45

Venue

Aesseal New York Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Luton Win

30%

Rotherham

3.28

27%

Draw

3.71

43%

Luton

2.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.6%

Away win

1 – 0

9.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Rotherham xG

Total xG

2.46

1.36

Luton xG

30%
27%
43%
RotherhamDrawLuton

3.28

30%

Home win

3.71

27%

Draw

2.35

43%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.01

50%

BTTS No

1.99

Clean Sheet

26%

Rotherham

3.89

33%

Luton

3.02

Win to Nil

8%

Rotherham

12.77

14%

Luton

7.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.5 11.6 7.9 3.6 1.2 0.3
1 9.4 12.8 8.7 3.9 1.3 0.4
2 5.2 7.1 4.8 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 1.9 2.6 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.106
λ Away (xG) 1.359
Total xG 2.465
League avg home goals 1.380
League avg away goals 1.171
Rotherham attack strength 0.753
Rotherham defence strength 1.171
Luton attack strength 0.991
Luton defence strength 1.064
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 89 / 43