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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Tue 11 Mar 2025

20:00

Venue

Select Car Leasing Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Reading Win

39%

Reading

2.56

31%

Draw

3.20

30%

Wrexham

3.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

12.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

Reading xG

Total xG

2.08

0.95

Wrexham xG

39%
31%
30%
ReadingDrawWrexham

2.56

39%

Home win

3.20

31%

Draw

3.37

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.36

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

39%

Reading

2.59

32%

Wrexham

3.11

Win to Nil

15%

Reading

6.62

10%

Wrexham

10.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.4 11.8 5.6 1.8 0.4 0.1
1 14.1 13.4 6.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.0 7.6 3.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 3.0 2.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.134
λ Away (xG) 0.951
Total xG 2.085
League avg home goals 1.247
League avg away goals 1.116
Reading attack strength 1.002
Reading defence strength 0.881
Wrexham attack strength 0.967
Wrexham defence strength 0.907
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 81 / 35