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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Thu 6 Nov 2025

20:00

Venue

Select Car Leasing Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stevenage Win

35%

Reading

2.89

29%

Draw

3.41

36%

Stevenage

2.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.5%

Away win

1 – 0

12.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.07

Reading xG

Total xG

2.18

1.10

Stevenage xG

35%
29%
36%
ReadingDrawStevenage

2.89

35%

Home win

3.41

29%

Draw

2.77

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.27

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

33%

Reading

3.02

34%

Stevenage

2.93

Win to Nil

11%

Reading

8.71

12%

Stevenage

8.12

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.3 12.5 6.9 2.5 0.7 0.2
1 12.2 13.4 7.4 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 6.5 7.2 4.0 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 2.3 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.075
λ Away (xG) 1.104
Total xG 2.179
League avg home goals 1.272
League avg away goals 1.078
Reading attack strength 0.867
Reading defence strength 0.968
Stevenage attack strength 1.058
Stevenage defence strength 0.974
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 58