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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Sat 15 Mar 2025

15:00

Venue

Select Car Leasing Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Reading Win

46%

Reading

2.16

31%

Draw

3.22

23%

Stevenage

4.43

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.3%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

14.6%

Draw

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Reading xG

Total xG

1.93

0.74

Stevenage xG

46%
31%
23%
ReadingDrawStevenage

2.16

46%

Home win

3.22

31%

Draw

4.43

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.73

63%

BTTS No

1.58

Clean Sheet

48%

Reading

2.09

30%

Stevenage

3.28

Win to Nil

22%

Reading

4.51

7%

Stevenage

14.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.6 10.7 4.0 1.0 0.2
1 17.3 12.8 4.7 1.2 0.2
2 10.3 7.6 2.8 0.7 0.1
3 4.1 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.189
λ Away (xG) 0.737
Total xG 1.926
League avg home goals 1.239
League avg away goals 1.110
Reading attack strength 1.056
Reading defence strength 0.821
Stevenage attack strength 0.808
Stevenage defence strength 0.909
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 82 / 82