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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Select Car Leasing Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Reading Win

41%

Reading

2.45

30%

Draw

3.32

29%

Port Vale

3.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

12.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.14

Reading xG

Total xG

2.05

0.91

Port Vale xG

41%
30%
29%
ReadingDrawPort Vale

2.45

41%

Home win

3.32

30%

Draw

3.45

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

61%

Over 1.5

1.64

39%

Under 1.5

2.56

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.47

59%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

40%

Reading

2.48

32%

Port Vale

3.12

Win to Nil

16%

Reading

6.06

9%

Port Vale

10.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.9 11.7 5.3 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 14.7 13.4 6.1 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 8.4 7.6 3.5 1.0 0.2
3 3.2 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.138
λ Away (xG) 0.908
Total xG 2.046
League avg home goals 1.349
League avg away goals 1.023
Reading attack strength 0.847
Reading defence strength 1.210
Port Vale attack strength 0.733
Port Vale defence strength 0.997
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 5