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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Tue 21 Oct 2025

20:00

Venue

Select Car Leasing Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Reading Win

41%

Reading

2.45

30%

Draw

3.36

29%

Northampton

3.40

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

12.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.16

Reading xG

Total xG

2.10

0.94

Northampton xG

41%
30%
29%
ReadingDrawNorthampton

2.45

41%

Home win

3.36

30%

Draw

3.40

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.39

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

39%

Reading

2.55

31%

Northampton

3.19

Win to Nil

16%

Reading

6.25

9%

Northampton

10.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.3 11.5 5.4 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 14.2 13.4 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.3 7.7 3.6 1.1 0.3
3 3.2 3.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.160
λ Away (xG) 0.937
Total xG 2.097
League avg home goals 1.322
League avg away goals 1.112
Reading attack strength 0.902
Reading defence strength 1.003
Northampton attack strength 0.840
Northampton defence strength 0.972
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 58 / 58