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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Thu 26 Dec 2024

15:00

Venue

Select Car Leasing Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Reading Win

61%

Reading

1.64

22%

Draw

4.56

17%

Northampton

5.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.1%

Home win

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.89

Reading xG

Total xG

2.77

0.89

Northampton xG

61%
22%
17%
ReadingDrawNorthampton

1.64

61%

Home win

4.56

22%

Draw

5.84

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

41%

Reading

2.43

15%

Northampton

6.61

Win to Nil

25%

Reading

3.98

3%

Northampton

38.56

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 5.5 2.4 0.7 0.2
1 11.8 10.4 4.6 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 11.1 9.9 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 7.0 6.2 2.7 0.8 0.2
4 3.3 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.888
λ Away (xG) 0.886
Total xG 2.774
League avg home goals 1.273
League avg away goals 1.161
Reading attack strength 1.193
Reading defence strength 0.931
Northampton attack strength 0.820
Northampton defence strength 1.243
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 67