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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 11

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

15:00

Venue

Select Car Leasing Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Reading Win

46%

Reading

2.15

26%

Draw

3.79

27%

Mansfield Town

3.69

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.45

Reading xG

Total xG

2.49

1.04

Mansfield Town xG

46%
26%
27%
ReadingDrawMansfield Town

2.15

46%

Home win

3.79

26%

Draw

3.69

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.02

51%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

35%

Reading

2.83

24%

Mansfield Town

4.25

Win to Nil

16%

Reading

6.09

6%

Mansfield Town

15.67

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 8.6 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 12.0 12.5 6.5 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 8.7 9.1 4.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 4.2 4.4 2.3 0.8 0.2
4 1.5 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.447
λ Away (xG) 1.040
Total xG 2.487
League avg home goals 1.364
League avg away goals 1.118
Reading attack strength 0.905
Reading defence strength 1.019
Mansfield Town attack strength 0.913
Mansfield Town defence strength 1.173
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 56