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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Thu 18 Dec 2025

20:00

Venue

Select Car Leasing Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Reading Win

42%

Reading

2.40

28%

Draw

3.62

31%

Luton

3.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.1%

Home win

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Reading xG

Total xG

2.37

1.07

Luton xG

42%
28%
31%
ReadingDrawLuton

2.40

42%

Home win

3.62

28%

Draw

3.25

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

34%

Reading

2.92

27%

Luton

3.65

Win to Nil

14%

Reading

7.03

8%

Luton

11.89

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 10.0 5.4 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 12.1 13.0 7.0 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 7.9 8.4 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.4 3.6 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.296
λ Away (xG) 1.073
Total xG 2.369
League avg home goals 1.270
League avg away goals 1.108
Reading attack strength 0.855
Reading defence strength 0.972
Luton attack strength 0.996
Luton defence strength 1.194
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 65 / 20