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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 43

Kick-off

Fri 18 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Select Car Leasing Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Reading Win

53%

Reading

1.89

25%

Draw

3.93

22%

Lincoln

4.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Reading xG

Total xG

2.52

0.92

Lincoln xG

53%
25%
22%
ReadingDrawLincoln

1.89

53%

Home win

3.93

25%

Draw

4.63

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

40%

Reading

2.51

20%

Lincoln

4.93

Win to Nil

21%

Reading

4.75

4%

Lincoln

22.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 7.4 3.4 1.1 0.2
1 12.9 11.9 5.5 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.3 9.5 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 5.5 5.0 2.3 0.7 0.2
4 2.2 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.595
λ Away (xG) 0.922
Total xG 2.517
League avg home goals 1.277
League avg away goals 1.124
Reading attack strength 1.102
Reading defence strength 0.777
Lincoln attack strength 1.055
Lincoln defence strength 1.133
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 88 / 88