Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Tue 4 Mar 2025

20:00

Venue

Select Car Leasing Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Reading Win

56%

Reading

1.80

25%

Draw

3.92

19%

Exeter City

5.27

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.5%

Draw

2 – 0

11.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.65

Reading xG

Total xG

2.51

0.86

Exeter City xG

56%
25%
19%
ReadingDrawExeter City

1.80

56%

Home win

3.92

25%

Draw

5.27

19%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.89

Clean Sheet

42%

Reading

2.37

19%

Exeter City

5.21

Win to Nil

23%

Reading

4.26

4%

Exeter City

27.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 7.0 3.0 0.9 0.2
1 13.4 11.5 5.0 1.4 0.3 0.1
2 11.1 9.5 4.1 1.2 0.3
3 6.1 5.2 2.3 0.6 0.1
4 2.5 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.651
λ Away (xG) 0.861
Total xG 2.512
League avg home goals 1.273
League avg away goals 1.155
Reading attack strength 1.085
Reading defence strength 0.919
Exeter City attack strength 0.811
Exeter City defence strength 1.195
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 79 / 78