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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 24

Kick-off

Thu 1 Jan 2026

15:00

Venue

Select Car Leasing Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Burton Albion Win

36%

Reading

2.81

28%

Draw

3.61

37%

Burton Albion

2.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.0%

Away win

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.19

Reading xG

Total xG

2.40

1.21

Burton Albion xG

36%
28%
37%
ReadingDrawBurton Albion

2.81

36%

Home win

3.61

28%

Draw

2.72

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

30%

Reading

3.35

30%

Burton Albion

3.28

Win to Nil

11%

Reading

9.41

11%

Burton Albion

8.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 11.0 6.7 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 10.8 13.1 7.9 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.4 7.8 4.7 1.9 0.6 0.1
3 2.5 3.1 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1
4 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.188
λ Away (xG) 1.210
Total xG 2.398
League avg home goals 1.339
League avg away goals 1.137
Reading attack strength 0.924
Reading defence strength 1.055
Burton Albion attack strength 1.008
Burton Albion defence strength 0.960
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 68 / 68