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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 22 Feb 2025

12:30

Venue

Select Car Leasing Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Birmingham Win

35%

Reading

2.87

28%

Draw

3.64

38%

Birmingham

2.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

10.1%

Away win

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Reading xG

Total xG

2.56

1.31

Birmingham xG

35%
28%
38%
ReadingDrawBirmingham

2.87

35%

Home win

3.64

28%

Draw

2.65

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.11

Clean Sheet

27%

Reading

3.71

29%

Birmingham

3.49

Win to Nil

9%

Reading

10.65

11%

Birmingham

9.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.7 10.1 6.6 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 9.7 12.7 8.3 3.6 1.2 0.3
2 6.0 7.9 5.2 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 2.5 3.3 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.249
λ Away (xG) 1.310
Total xG 2.559
League avg home goals 1.296
League avg away goals 1.199
Reading attack strength 1.168
Reading defence strength 0.983
Birmingham attack strength 1.111
Birmingham defence strength 0.825
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 77 / 29