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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 46

Kick-off

Sat 3 May 2025

15:00

Venue

Select Car Leasing Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Reading Win

53%

Reading

1.88

24%

Draw

4.12

22%

Barnsley

4.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.77

Reading xG

Total xG

2.85

1.07

Barnsley xG

53%
24%
22%
ReadingDrawBarnsley

1.88

53%

Home win

4.12

24%

Draw

4.45

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.81

45%

BTTS No

2.23

Clean Sheet

34%

Reading

2.93

17%

Barnsley

5.89

Win to Nil

18%

Reading

5.50

4%

Barnsley

26.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.8 6.2 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 10.3 11.0 5.9 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 9.1 9.8 5.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 5.4 5.8 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.4 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.773
λ Away (xG) 1.075
Total xG 2.848
League avg home goals 1.296
League avg away goals 1.174
Reading attack strength 0.998
Reading defence strength 0.779
Barnsley attack strength 1.175
Barnsley defence strength 1.371
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 91 / 91