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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 3

Kick-off

Sat 16 Aug 2025

15:00

Venue

Select Car Leasing Stadium

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Reading Win

47%

Reading

2.14

30%

Draw

3.39

24%

AFC Wimbledon

4.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.9%

Draw

0 – 0

11.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Reading xG

Total xG

2.14

0.84

AFC Wimbledon xG

47%
30%
24%
ReadingDrawAFC Wimbledon

2.14

47%

Home win

3.39

30%

Draw

4.20

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.39

58%

BTTS No

1.72

Clean Sheet

43%

Reading

2.32

27%

AFC Wimbledon

3.66

Win to Nil

20%

Reading

4.97

7%

AFC Wimbledon

15.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.8 9.9 4.2 1.2 0.2
1 15.3 12.9 5.4 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 9.9 8.3 3.5 1.0 0.2
3 4.3 3.6 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 1.4 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.297
λ Away (xG) 0.842
Total xG 2.139
League avg home goals 1.327
League avg away goals 1.082
Reading attack strength 0.879
Reading defence strength 1.090
AFC Wimbledon attack strength 0.715
AFC Wimbledon defence strength 1.112
Data phase Blended
Games used (H/A) 48 / 2