Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Tue 19 Aug 2025

19:45

Venue

Vale Park

Competition

League One

England

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Stevenage Win

27%

Port Vale

3.64

32%

Draw

3.10

40%

Stevenage

2.48

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.5%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

12.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.92

Port Vale xG

Total xG

2.09

1.17

Stevenage xG

27%
32%
40%
Port ValeDrawStevenage

3.64

27%

Home win

3.10

32%

Draw

2.48

40%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.34

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

31%

Port Vale

3.23

40%

Stevenage

2.51

Win to Nil

8%

Port Vale

11.77

16%

Stevenage

6.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.3 14.5 8.5 3.3 1.0 0.2
1 11.4 13.3 7.8 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 5.2 6.1 3.6 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 1.6 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.920
λ Away (xG) 1.172
Total xG 2.092
League avg home goals 1.389
League avg away goals 1.087
Port Vale attack strength 0.695
Port Vale defence strength 1.011
Stevenage attack strength 1.066
Stevenage defence strength 0.953
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 3 / 49